Todd, Minnesota Weather Forecast Discussion

000
FXUS63 KFGF 230830
AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
330 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Patchy fog, locally dense, remains possible early this morning
  and again early Wednesday morning. Otherwise dry and warm thru
  the end of the month.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 321 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
...Synopsis...
500 mb pattern shows an upper low over the central Rockies and
instability and moisture tied to the central Plains into Ohio
valley. This pattern will bring these areas significant
rainfall. In our area....500 mb jet is bringing systems into
southeast Alaska and into northern British Columbia. This jet
will remain in that area the next few days as a flat 500 mb
ridge builds east thru southern Canada from southern Alberta
into Ontario. This will keep the area along the Intl border dry.
Even within the west-east ridge aloft there are a few weak
suface systems that will move through, providing some wind
shifts. One today that will shift winds from light
south/southwest to north/northwest and then one Thursday.
Moisture is very limited for both of these fronts and at this
time no precipitation is anticipated, plus winds and sfc
convergence is very weak along these weak fronts as they pass
through.
That said last evening there was a brief couple showers in SW ND
that did form along a weak front and this front will be in north
central MN into far southeast ND/west central MN mid to late
aftn. Not out of the realm of possibility some mid level CU
forms along it at peak heating and a mid level shower or two
forms. Chance for this occurring is 10 pct or less and thus not
included in the fcst.
With light winds at night...will see continued chances for
ground fog formation. This early morning the main formation is
to our east and southeast but there is still time for patches of
fog yet thru sunrise. Same for Tues late night/early Wed as
winds again light with patchy fog possible.
7 day forecast is dry thru next Tuesday. Above normal
temperatures as well with no frost risk thru the end of
September.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1154 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
VFR conditions and light winds under 9kt are forecast throughout
the TAF period, with the exception of fog between 09Z-14Z500
Included BR and visibility reductions within the KTVF and KBJI
TAFs to annotate this potential as these locations hold
relatively higher chances at seeing fog than other locations
(30% chance for fog); however, there is still a small chance
(10%) for fog to impact other sites like KGFK and KFAR.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Riddle
AVIATION...CJ

NWS FGF Office Area Forecast Discussion