Toyah, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

176
FXUS64 KMAF 060644
AFDMAF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
144 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 137 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
- Above normal temperatures and dry weather conditions continue
  across the region through early next week.
- Slightly cooler temperatures and low (10-30%) rain chances
  briefly return Tuesday night into Wednesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 137 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
WV imagery this morning shows a deep upper trough extending from off
the coast of California up into Manitoba, putting West Texas and
Southeast New Mexico under persistent southwest flow aloft.
Today, with little change in the pattern, temperatures will be
similar to yesterday`s, if not a degree cooler due to slightly
diminished thicknesses.
Tonight, a 35 kt LLJ is forecast to redevelop, keeping mixing in
play and overnight lows ~ 10-12 F above normal.
For those who like cooler weather, Tuesday will be a treat as a cold
front approaches the area.  This feature will likely slow and/or
stall north of the area during the day due to diurnal heating.
However, surface winds will back to east, and thicknesses will
further diminish, yielding afternoon highs averaging only ~ 5 F
above normal.  CAMs rotate a shortwave around the northwest
periphery of the ridge and this could kick off some isolated
convection during the afternoon, mainly over Southeast New Mexico.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 137 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Mid level ridging builds back over the region following Tuesday`s
cold front. This will lead to another string of hot days moving
forward, but not before our "coolest" day of the period Wednesday.
The effects of the cold front will still be felt with easterly winds
and clouds keeping temperatures close to normal (low to mid 80s). A
low chance (

NWS MAF Office Area Forecast Discussion