268 FXUS64 KSJT 070605 AFDSJTArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 105 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Cloudy and cooler today, with scattered showers and a few thunderstorms possible into tonight.
- Rain chances will continue Sunday into Monday, with dry conditions returning by Tuesday.
- Sunny and warm conditions expected for Tuesday through Friday.
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.SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday) Issued at 113 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
A cold front has moved through the region, with much cooler temperatures across the area this afternoon. Scattered showers continue across the area early this afternoon. Expect this activity to continue through the evening hours, with the higher rain chances across our southern counties. High resolution models have overall trended drier for the overnight and Sunday time frame. Although some upper level Pacific moisture is streaming into the area, most of the moisture associated with former tropical cyclone Lorena ended up remaining across western Mexico. Still, a few showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon through Sunday, mainly across our southern counties, which could produce locally heavy rainfall. Overall though, rain amounts are forecast to remain light for most locations.
Overnight lows are forecast to drop into the low to mid 60s for most locations, with plenty of cloud cover expected. Highs on Sunday will again be below seasonal normals, but several degrees warmer than forecast highs today. Expect highs in the low to mid 80s for most locations, with cloudy skies in the morning and some sun expected during the afternoon hours.
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.LONG TERM... (Monday through next Saturday) Issued at 1257 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Expect warmer and dry weather and an upper level ridge builds across the Southern Plains this week. Also, look for mostly sunny skies each afternoon so it will make it feel even hotter. Highs will be in the 90s, slightly above normal for this time of year. Overnight lows will be in the 60s to around 70.
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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1257 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
MVFR ceilings are expected to develop across the far southern terminals (KJCT, KSOA and KBBD) after 10Z, and persist through the morning hours. Ceilings are expected to lift to VFR this afternoon. Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible across the southern terminals again today. Will include VCSH for now and monitor radar trends through the morning hours due to coverage uncertainties. Winds will remain light the next 24 hours.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 87 66 90 67 / 10 10 10 0 San Angelo 85 66 87 65 / 30 10 20 0 Junction 84 65 88 63 / 60 10 40 0 Brownwood 85 64 88 62 / 20 10 10 0 Sweetwater 86 66 90 68 / 10 10 10 0 Ozona 80 64 85 66 / 60 10 40 0 Brady 82 66 85 62 / 30 10 20 0
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.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...Daniels LONG TERM....21 AVIATION...24
NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion